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FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS The financial projections for SanaSana are quite encouraging. The growth of Hispanic adoption of Internet usage10 , the lack of useful health content targeted at the Hispanic/Latino population, and the opportunity for product developers to seek feedback from a targeted community in a cost-effective manner provide a unique, yet short window of opportunity for SanaSana to be a first mover. The following sections provide a synopsis of the financial outlook for the business. 5.1 5-Year Financial Summary.The table below provides a 5-year earnings outlook for SanaSana. As can be expected, earnings and cash flow for Startup, Year 1 and Year 2 are negative due to slow revenue ramp-up with heavy expenditures in content development to build the site and marketing functions to attract a large number of necessary customers. |
| (In thousands) | Startup | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | ||||||
| Sponsorships | $0 | $1,440 | $3,840 | $7,560 | $13,920 | $23,400 |
| Product Development Services | $0 | $3,663 | $5,598 | $8,192 | $12,267 | $17,808 |
| Research Studies & Commerce | $0 | $1,265 | $2,619 | $4,455 | $7,201 | $12,237 |
| Advertising | $0 | $832 | $1,927 | $3,101 | $5,011 | $8,125 |
| Total | $0 | $7,200 | $13,984 | $23,307 | $38,399 | $61,569 |
| Expenses | ||||||
| Content Development | $406 | $372 | $1,224 | $2,322 | $3,526 | $5,044 |
| Operations | $231 | $1,203 | $1,444 | $1,788 | $2,177 | $2,716 |
| Marketing | $220 | $12,110 | $10,129 | $14,018 | $18,777 | $25,129 |
| G&A | $1,065 | $2,359 | $2,716 | $3,078 | $3,496 | $3,977 |
| Total | $1,922 | $16,044 | $15,514 | $21,206 | $27,976 | $36,866 |
| EBT | ($1,922) | ($8,844) | ($1,529) | $2,101 | $10,423 | $24,703 |
| INFLATED EBT (3% per year) | ($1,922) | ($9,110) | ($1,622) | $2,296 | $11,731 | $28,637 |
| Taxes (Assumes 35% tax rate) | ($673) | ($3,188) | ($568) | $804 | $4,106 | $10,023 |
| NET EARNINGS | ($1,249) | ($5,921) | ($1,055) | $1,493 | $7,625 | $18,614 |
| Cash Flow (adj for tax credits) | ($1,922) | ($9,110) | ($1,622) | $5,922 | $7,625 | $18,614 |
| Cumulative Cash Flow | ($1,922) | ($11,032) | ($12,654) | ($6,733) | $893 | $19,507 |
This income model is contingent upon a number of key volume estimates. Figure 13 below provides the more critical volume assumptions for SanaSana. Please see Appendix F for the complete list of assumptions and all detailed financial statements.
Figure 10. Assumptions| Startup | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Hispanics in the US Online | 3,541,333 | 4,957,867 | 6,445,227 | 8,378,795 | 10,892,433 | 14,160,163 |
| # registered users | 198,315 | 257,809 | 335,152 | 435,697 | 566,407 | |
| # content areas | 20 | 40 | 60 | 80 | 100 | |
| # emails sent | 12,606,045 | 26,090,278 | 37,309,097 | 53,352,009 | 76,293,372 | |
| # Health Capsules sent per year per content area | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | |
| Total New product space purchased per year | 480 | 960 | 1,440 | 1,920 | 2,400 | |
| # Licensing agreements (content licensing) | 6 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 30 | |
| # willing to participate in research studies | 618 | 4,561 | 5,930 | 7,708 | 10,021 | |
| # new products samples sent per year | 1,189,888 | 1,703,098 | 2,440,058 | 3,513,416 | 5,058,613 | |
| # surveys distributed per year | 98,166 | 127,732 | 166,368 | 217,774 | 285,046 | |
| # focus groups per year | 90.0 | 150.0 | 210.0 | 285.0 | 360.0 |
Below are brief descriptions of the revenue and expense components of the income statement. For a more detailed description of the key line items, please see Appendix F.
5.2.1 Revenues5.3.1 Amount and timing.
As can be seen from the Statement of Cash Flows below, the management of SanaSana, will need $10 million of cash over the next 18 months.
| Pro-forma Statement of Cash Flows (FY2000) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOP Startup | EOP Year 1 | EOP Year 2 | EOP Year 3 | EOP Year 4 | EOP Year 5 | |
| CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS | ||||||
| Net Earnings | ($1,249,308) | ($5,748,894) | ($993,987) | $1,365,954 | $6,775,079 | $16,056,886 |
| Change in Working Capital | ||||||
| Decrease /(Increase) Accounts receivable | $0 | ($1,374,509) | ($1,305,680) | ($1,730,704) | ($2,814,255) | ($4,348,203) |
| Decrease / (Increase) Inventory | ($22,077) | $2,000 | ($16,392) | ($21,099) | ($23,162) | ($29,190) |
| Decrease / (Increase) Prepaid expenses | ($8,400) | ($1,600) | ($4,000) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Increase / (Decrease) Accounts payable | $219,135 | $975,781 | ($46,051) | $444,257 | $529,446 | $700,868 |
| TOTAL CASH FROM OPERATIONS | ($1,060,650) | ($6,147,222) | ($2,366,110) | $58,408 | $4,467,108 | $12,380,362 |
| CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING | ||||||
| Investments | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| TOTAL CASH FROM INVESTING | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING | ||||||
| Short-term debt | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Long-term debt | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Owner's equity | $2,000,000 | $6,000,000 | $2,000,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| TOTAL CASH FROM FINANCING | $2,000,000 | $6,000,000 | $2,000,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NET INCREASE / (DECREASE) IN CASH | $939,350 | ($147,212) | ($366,110) | $58,408 | $4,467,108 | $12,380,362 |
| CASH, BEGINNING OF PERIOD | $0 | $939,350 | $792,128 | $426,019 | $484,426 | $4,951,535 |
| CASH, END OF PERIOD | $939,350 | $792,128 | $426,019 | $484,426 | $4,951,535 | $17,331,896 |
5.3.2 Staged Funding Needed
This investment will be required in the installments detailed below:
| Jun 2000 | Nov 2000 | Feb 2001 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Needed | $2.0MM | $2.5MM | $5.5MM |
5.3.3 Use of Funds
Startup (June 2000 to December 2000). During the first six months after launch (startup phase), SanaSana will invest a majority of its capital in building the web site and content for its business. Also, SanaSana will begin a communication and sales effort with potential business partners and doctors. The goal of this effort is to have a set of established businesses and medical professionals supporting the business prior to its launch. A smaller set of funds will also be used to begin a marketing effort to potential Hispanic users.
5.3.4 Long-Term Financial Strategy
We see two options for our future financial strategy, internal expansion or exit strategy.
Expansion Model. In order to increase market share and access additional markets, SanaSana must raise additional capital.
| SanaSana | ||
| Table of Contents | Appendices | |
|
0. Executive Summary 1. Business Description 2. Market Analysis 3. Management Team 4. Operating Strategies 5. Financial Projections 6. Business Risks |
Health Demographics Future Business Offerings Competitive Landscape Internet Usage and Penetration Technical Infrastructure Implementation Detailed Financial Statements | |
| All information herein is confidential and belongs to SanaSana. | ||